WebTechnically the truth. That tops the 2020 Jaguars, who entered last season at 23% and ended up earning that No. A game remembered more for trick plays and bad refereeing than the actual quality of either team, the Pittsburgh Steelers emerged victorious in their effort to send Jerome Bettis off into the sunset in style. FPI is able to reconcile that issue to determine a more accurate SOS. Unfortunately for them, that stopped in the playoffs and in the Super Bowl. He saved the team from the clutches of defeat and led a game-winning fourth-quarter drive. The Rams are firmly in the mix this year. The Patriots dynasty started with a massive upset that ended with a Tom Brady game-winning drive and clutch kick by Adam Vinatieri. US residents can opt out of "sales" of personal data. An 115 team that didn't exceed in anything, but had John Elway. Dick Vermeil's boys just missed out on the Lombardi Trophy with one bad day. They're returning the 2020 MVP and had the league's most efficient offense last year -- yes, even better than Kansas City's. This is my ranking of the best bets you can make on who will win Super Bowl 56 starting with the teams I absolutely would not recommend putting even a dollar on (with all odds via FOX Bet). The New York team that was crowned champion was far from elite. Self care and ideas to help you live a healthier, happier life. A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. FPI has created preseason projections every year since 2015, and the 2021 Chiefs rank third out of the seven favorites, behind the 2017 Patriots (32%) and 2020 Chiefs (22%). Baltimore Ravens +1500 (bet $10 to win $160 total), The best team in the rugged AFC North, but the least talked about. They were also had to win all their road playoff games, which during the time, was unheard of. If not for the dramatic ending, this game may have finished last on this list. They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst, and he also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. If Watson doesn't play in 2021, the Texans will be competing for the top overall pick in the 2022 draft. Here's everything we know, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Top QB prospect Levis eager to unleash 'cannon', Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. New England Patriots +3300 (bet $10 to win $340 total), If Bill Belichick can figure out his QB, the Patriots are going to be extremely dangerous. 27. It was never even close as the Seahawks dominated from the opening snap. Its the only Super Bowl where a member of the losing team won MVP. Baltimore is well balanced, with a projected offense and defense (and special teams!) Same goes for this one. Another Broncos blowout. Cam Newton had an MVP season to remember and ran an offense that produced 31.3 points per game. This 97 Cardinals team scored 78. This game did feature one of the best defenses in NFL history, but watching it dismantle a Kerry Collins-led offense wasnt all that exciting. New York's passing attack was somewhere between awful and mediocre. Complete team-by-team FPI projections The game may have been bad, but this is NFL history. The Colts have the third worst odds at +15000, while the Texans have the worst overall odds at +30000. Who do you think was the best team to not win a Super Bowl. The Browns also have a good defense that improved with the additions of John Johnson III at safety, Anthony Walker and Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah at linebacker, Jadeveon Clowney at edge rusher, and Greg Newsome II at cornerback. With the best defense in the game, this 124 Steelers team could not stop a hot road team in the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. However, New York went just 10-6 in the regular season. The 10 Worst NFL Teams to Ever Win a Super Bowl - Sportscasting This team is just two years removed from the AFC Championship Game and is in position to "win now." Green Bay Packers +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total), The Packers are tied for the second-best odds to win the NFC, but their arduous schedule includes a league-high 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. Peyton Manning needed the Saints and Tracy Porter to not come marching in. It was called the "Blunder Bowl" for a reason. At 133, this New England Patriots offense was extraordinary, but their defense was lacking and kept them out of the top 20. Will this be the first time for everything?. The AFC is considerably tougher than the NFC. To handle the uncertainty in the timing of Wentz's return, FPI gives the QB a very small chance to play in Week 1 and gradually increases the chance of his return until Week 8 -- spanning the range of the recovery timeline laid out last week by coach Frank Reich. 3) Only one of their final seven opponents has a season win total under 8.5. First place on this list scored 140 points in my grading system. A 133 record, and a top 5 offense and defense, this was the derailing of a potential dynasty. 1 seed in the AFC (32%) and reach the Super Bowl (30%). FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense and worst defense in the league. Sure the game was over by the end of the second quarter, but watching Steve Young (six touchdown passes) and Jerry Rice (three touchdown receptions) tear up the Chargers was a joy to watch. Two good-but-not-great teams playing an uncompetitive game with an unforgettable MVP? Detroit has a young and talented offensive line (average age 24 years old) to protect new quarterback Jared Goffwho is looking to resurrect his career after getting traded by the Los Angeles Rams. Thats NFL history. How much this defense will improve under first-year head coach Brandon Staley will be an indicator whether the Chargers are playoff-caliber. New York had to scrap its way to the Super Bowl. Buffalo Bills +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total), They went 15-2 against teams not named the Kansas City Chiefs last year, but via Warren Sharp, heres an incredible stat: The Bills had the good fortune of facing three West Coast teams last season at 1 p.m. Brown, setting the stage for Jones to have a huge first season in Tennessee. Adding Marvin Jones to a young receiving unit that already includes Laviska Shenault Jr. and D.J. ), or the second-half Seahawks (only topped 30 points once in the final seven games, and it was vs the hapless Jets)?, Seattle has lost three of its past four playoff games and not made the NFC title game since 2014., 11. It's what helps people grow. The best chance they had and they were wide right. 5. This might be controversial among Bills fans, but this team was just as good as the year before. Seriously, I get the Super Bowl is one of the worst in history, but this team was really great with an underappreciated defense. 14. Green, but for a young team with a young coach, locker room leadership was needed last year down the stretch when they lost five of seven and missed the playoffs.. This should have been a great game. What Allen accomplished in 2020 was MVP-caliber, even if he didn't take home the league's highest individual honor. The Dolphins won their second consecutive Super Bowl in a game that was over well before the fourth quarter. I did not mean to rhyme there. Washington Football Team +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Ryan Fitzpatrick, a guy who hasnt been to the playoffs in his career, is suddenly going to get to the Super Bowl?. 29 and 30. Obviously a dramatic ending helps, but that doesnt alway mean a great game. I have multiple tickets on the Jags - win the division, wins over, win the Super Bowl. This contest was more important than nearly any other as it asserted the AFL's legitimacy as a league and proved it could contend with the NFL year in and year out. Let's start in the 1980s, with a team led by Hall of Famers like Joe Montana, Jerry Rice and Steve Young For a franchise that was so consistently dominant in the 1980s, the 1988 version of the San Francisco 49ers sure seems mediocre. Kansas City's middling defense (No. Buffalo actually led going into halftime before being outscored 21-0 in the second half. Dolphins fullback Larry Csonka plows between Vikings LB Jeff Siemon (50) and safety Paul Krause for one of his two touchdowns in the Dolphins 24-7 Super Bowl VIII win. Two years ago, the 49ers were 10 minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, and they return eight defensive starters from that team. 11 in the league, per FPI) isn't a problem with that kind of strength on the other side of the ball. The Dolphins capped off the only perfect season ever, despite Garo Yepremian give us an all-time blooper. This Baltimore Colts was coached by Don Shula and averaged 28.7 points per game in the '60s. Los Angeles was a heavy underdog but actually took a lead into the fourth quarter. In 2017, McIntyre began producing gambling content on the NFL, college football and NBA for FOX Sports. Defensively, they were 22nd in points scored against, and it showed in the Super Bowl. To no surprise: It's the Patrick Mahomes-led offense -- which includes Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and a rebuilt offensive line -- that leads the way and is more than 2.5 points per game better than the next-best offense (Green Bay). It was a sloppy game that was marred by questionable refereeing, but Bill Cowher and Jerome Bettis finally winning a Lombardi Trophy thanks to Willie Parkers record-setting touchdown run and Hines Ward throwing for a score made this a memorable Super Bowl. that each ranks in the top 10. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Had Rodgers simply decided to retire rather than suit up, Green Bay's chances to make the playoffs would have dropped from 70% to 24%, and their Super Bowl chances would have dropped from 6% to 0.2%. 19. Washington, despite being the reigning champ and making an improvement at quarterback in the form of Ryan Fitzpatrick, is second (29%), followed by the Giants (15%) and Eagles (11%). This post originally ran in January 2018. But hey, they did something right, they were in the Super Bowl. Although they have one less win, there stats still propel them ahead of the '86 team. At best, the Falcons are a playoff team, but theyd need something calamitous to happen to the Bucs to have a shot to win the division., 21. Yeah, this one wasnt compelling for neutral viewers. Stefon Diggs is one of the game's best wide receivers and Gabriel Davis is one of the underrated young wideouts in the league. When you have to play the two toughest divisions in the NFL NFC West, AFC North the uphill climb is real. We have all heard this "Cinderella story" one too many times, but it's worth going over for the purposes of this piece. The NFL didn't have a full season due to a strike, so it is hard to put a 72 team ahead of others. The first five weeks of Indianapolis' schedule are rough, as the Colts host the Seahawks and Rams before hitting the road to face the Titans, Dolphins and Ravens. All rights reserved. Cole Beasley is also a reliable target for Allen, who does as much damage from the outside as well as the slot. With a hostage crisis in Iran taking attention away from the game, the Raiders and Eagles made sure Americans too concerned to tune into a football game didnt miss much. The NFC West is loaded, but the Cardinals have the talent to win the division. 29. QB | RB | WR | TE Allowed 173 yards per game on the ground lmao this1dude88 Chiefs 4 yr. ago That defense became dominant A 15-1 team, losing to the Atlanta Falcons by a single touchdown, the 2015 Carolina Panthers were a dominant offensive force with an underrated defense. 12:11 pm ET, NFL combine 2023 tracker: Top performances, highlights, Jones assures Cowboys still interested in Beckham, NFL Combine 2023: Colossal Richardson breaks QB records, NFL combine measurements: Full list of WR, TE numbers, Jackson Mahomes accused of assault at Kansas restaurant, Agent's Take: Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Teams that never won SB that have best chance in 2021, Mock Draft: Panthers, Colts trade up for QBs, Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Richardson breaks QB record in vertical jump, Pascal robbed at gunpoint, assaulted; WR 'doing fine', Bryce Young measures similar to former No. One team (Patriots) in the last 25 years has been to three straight.. Their defense only gave up 9.5 points per game in a 14-game season. While Kansas City's 19% chance to win the Super Bowl might be more than any other team's, FPI is also saying that there's a 4-in-5 chance that a team other than the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl. Bradshaw would go on to complete just 67 passes for 785 yards, seven touchdowns and eight interceptions in his limited action. The game was expected to be a blowout Green Bay was favored by 13.5 points and it was. I'd argue their offense was a little more productive, but that being said, the 1990 team still beat them out. Now, by most accounts, the Steelers were great in 1974. Discover unique things to do, places to eat, and sights to see in the best destinations around the world with Bring Me! BUT this 14-2 Atlanta Falcons team was no slouch. And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. This was the year that Joe Montana and Steve Young alternated starts at quarterback until eventually Montana firmly took the reins down the stretch. NFL fans would have to get used that kind of ending. Here are the 10 teams most likely to win Super Bowl LV: Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay is still not that likely, however. Rookie head coaches and rookie quarterbacks don't typically generate Super Bowl contenders. New head coach Arthur Smith has some work to do this summer. If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. A fullback even if it was Hall of Famer Larry Csonka winning MVP tells you just how entertaining this one was. A smart strategy? Los Angeles Rams +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total). Dilfer bounced around many teams in his career, but he was lucky enough to helm the Baltimore Ravens to a Super Bowl victory on the strength of their history-making defense. Kirk Cousins may not be elite, but he's a pretty good quarterback. Atlanta is going to miss Jones' big-play ability -- and has a defense set to give up big plays of its own. Just as importantly, no team lost more games to injury last year than the 49ers, And thats at every position. You have a few precious hours left to scout rosters, analyze schedules, weigh injuries and place your futures bets on who is going to win Super Bowl 56. Head coach Bill Cowher would get Super Bowl redemption the next decade, but this 115 team was pretty great all around. Teams that barely squeak into the playoffs with a wild-card berth have become frequent commodities on this list, so it only feels appropriate to include the first wild-card team to ever win the Super Bowl. Dan Marino's lone Super Bowl and this team was his best shot. 113 career TDs compared to 129 interceptions says that he doesn't deserve that victory. Sixth-round draft pickTom Brady took over for the injured Drew Bledsoe at quarterback and led the Patriots all the way to the Super Bowl title. Cincinnati Bengals +10000 (bet $10 to win $1010 total), The Bengals will be improved, but theyre not higher on this list for three reasons:. 6. If Murray can stay healthy, the sky's the limit for this team. Green and Rondale Moore at wide receiver. It was the biggest upset in football history for a reason. Any NFL fan intuitively knows that basing strength of schedule on the previous season's record is a fool's errand because teams' abilities change too much from year to year to go off that, not to mention the fact that a single NFL season is not always a great indicator for the talent of a team. Ranked below are the 20 worst NFL players to win a Super Bowl since 2000. There was a reason the Colts were heavily favored going into the big game: The Jets were not all that good. The Broncos do have to see Mahomes and the Chiefs twice, but they play only four top-10 FPI teams and get the extra home game for being in the AFC. The most interesting thing about this Super Bowl remains Hank Strams micd up footage. Sure, it was a massive upset and Joe Namaths guarantee adds to the lore, but the game itself was a bore. And we dont even know who their QB is (probably Teddy Bridgewater over Drew Lock).. Throw in Trent Dilfer leading the other offense and a game that was never competitive, and this is easily the worst Super Bowl of all-time. Even without Wentz, the forecast for that stretch is better than one might guess; on average, the Colts win 2.2 of those games, and the chances that they start 0-5 is just over 1 in 20. Arizona still needs more help in the secondary, but defensive coordinator Vance Joseph has man-cover corners to fit his scheme. They went 3-0.. Their defense back in the day was shutting teams down and they had great leadership in Fran Tarkenton. Matt Rhule is building something in Carolina as he enters his second year, taking a chance he can resurrect Sam Darnold's career. Unfortunately, they had to go head-to-head with arguably the greatest defense of all-time in the '85 Bears. 51. They face an NFL-high three teams coming off a bye week. Nobody has a tougher September schedule: vs Seattle, vs the Rams, at Tennessee, at Miami, at Baltimore. 1 pick than the 2021 Houston Texans, at 24%. Yes, they have the best QB, a fleet of skill players and a fantastic coach, but history is not on their side. San Francisco 49ers +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total), Tricky to put San Francisco here given the uncertainty at QB, but theres no way they actually start 21-year-old Trey Lance, right?. The AFC North features two major Super Bowl threats in Baltimore and Cleveland. Tennessee's offense is going to have to do most of the work in order to repeat at AFC South champions. It all makes for a nice story, but the fact remains that the Giants were not a superb team. The Chiefs rank No. The Tennessee Titans are one of 12 teams in the NFL to have never won a Super Bowl, and according to one writer, they are the furthest away from doing so of those dozen teams. In a 17-game slate, the division matters that much less compared to strength of schedule. Jacksonville Jaguars +9000 (bet $10 to win $910 total), "Dont tell me what you think tell me whats in your portfolio. New Orleans Saints +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total), The most puzzling number on the board, as Im much lower on the Saints than this.. Winning close games and narrowly escaping the agony of defeat is one way to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, and while that path may not be the most exciting or exhilarating, it has been traveled on multiple occasions.
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